2011 college football, Week 14 Entropy prediction results: pmar = Entropy prediction line = Las Vegas point spread rs = actual result error = prediction error errLV = point spread prediction error STR = straight-up prediction result ATS = prediction result against the spread favorite pmar line rs underdog error errLV STR ATS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- West Virginia 0.13 2.5 3 South Florida 2.87 0.50 W L Northern Illinois 1.86 3.5 3 Ohio 1.14 0.50 W W Oregon 27.37 31.5 18 UCLA 9.37 13.50 W W Cincinnati 12.70 9.0 8 Connecticut 4.70 1.00 W L Pittsburgh 11.68 10.0 13 Syracuse 1.32 3.00 W W Kansas State 15.42 11.0 7 Iowa State 8.42 4.00 W L Wyoming 7.32 5.5 3 Colorado State 4.32 2.50 W L T.C.U. 38.50 38.5 47 UNLV 8.50 8.50 W X Oklahoma State 6.76 3.5 34 Oklahoma 27.24 30.50 W W Baylor 1.84 3.0 24 Texas 22.16 21.00 W L Nevada 17.49 20.0 53 Idaho 35.51 33.00 W L Boise State 50.53 48.5 45 New Mexico 5.53 3.50 W L B.Y.U. 6.38 8.0 21 Hawaii 14.62 13.00 W L Utah State 11.72 14.0 3 New Mexico State 8.72 11.00 W W San Diego State 9.41 8.0 7 Fresno State 2.41 1.00 W L Arkansas State 19.54 17.5 31 Troy 11.46 13.50 W W North Texas 7.10 5.5 52 Middle Tennessee State 44.90 46.50 W W Louisiana-Monroe 14.66 7.5 26 Florida Atlantic 11.34 18.50 W W Houston 27.40 14.0 -21 Southern Miss 48.40 35.00 L L L.S.U. 17.60 13.5 32 Georgia 14.40 18.50 W W Virginia Tech 6.82 7.0 -28 Clemson 34.82 35.00 L W Wisconsin 11.05 9.5 3 Michigan State 8.05 6.50 W L mean prediction error = 15.009 mean square error = 418.467 mean Las Vegas error = 14.545 mean square LV error = 389.636 straight: 20- 2 , 0.9091 ATS W-L-P: 10- 11- 0, 0.4762 -- Totals: home ptot line rs road error errLV ATS --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- South Florida 57.79 55.0 57 West Virginia 0.79 2.00 W Ohio 69.44 72.0 43 Northern Illinois 26.44 29.00 W Oregon 65.99 66.5 80 UCLA 14.01 13.50 L Cincinnati 53.57 47.0 62 Connecticut 8.43 15.00 W Pittsburgh 48.43 47.0 53 Syracuse 4.57 6.00 W Kansas State 52.85 51.5 53 Iowa State 0.15 1.50 W Colorado State 52.48 51.5 41 Wyoming 11.48 10.50 L T.C.U. 61.65 57.0 65 UNLV 3.35 8.00 W Oklahoma State 77.07 71.5 54 Oklahoma 23.07 17.50 L Baylor 68.55 63.5 72 Texas 3.45 8.50 W Nevada 60.15 56.0 59 Idaho 1.15 3.00 W Boise State 61.38 62.0 45 New Mexico 16.38 17.00 W Hawaii 56.44 55.5 61 B.Y.U. 4.56 5.50 W New Mexico State 63.81 62.0 45 Utah State 18.81 17.00 L San Diego State 60.11 60.0 63 Fresno State 2.89 3.00 W Arkansas State 56.51 57.0 59 Troy 2.49 2.00 L North Texas 56.85 55.0 66 Middle Tennessee State 9.15 11.00 W Florida Atlantic 51.32 47.5 26 Louisiana-Monroe 25.32 21.50 L Houston 73.89 72.0 77 Southern Miss 3.11 5.00 W L.S.U. 49.91 46.0 52 Georgia 2.09 6.00 W Clemson 52.06 53.0 48 Virginia Tech 4.06 5.00 W Wisconsin 55.56 55.0 81 Michigan State 25.44 26.00 W mean prediction error = 9.600 mean square error = 169.837 mean Las Vegas error = 10.614 mean square LV error = 173.580 ATS W-L-P: 16- 6- 0, 0.7273