The Entropy Vegas Plays
December 12: Over the last two weeks Entropy has hit a solid profit on plays posted at sports-bettors.com in all three active sports (NFL, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball), with an over-all record of 34-21 (61.8 percent winners). Click here for a screen shot of the results.
Reasons to subscribe:
First of all, the mere fact that we supply copious amounts of data sets us apart from 99 percent of the "touts" out there. When you sign up and see our projections for totals and money lines every day, along with the voluminous game data libraries, it will be obvious that this is something entirely different. A lot of our competitors could just as well be flipping coins to make their picks. They usually supply nothing more than a few talking points that any sports fan could spout. Instead, here you get the nuts and bolts behind the picks.
Of course, profitable results are a primary consideration too: Click here to see summaries for the last three seasons, or click here to see how things are going this year.
Other reasons:
A) Bettors might do well simply using our freely published margin of victory predictions to wager. However, they would do better with our subscription picks. For example, in the 2008/09 NFL season, our predictions on all games covered ATS (against the spread) 55.9 percent of the time. Meanwhile, 61.7 percent of subscription plays won. That's a big difference. Such high returns should not be expected every season, but you can expect a few percent gain with the subscription picks, and a few percent is often the difference between profit and loss.
B) Subscribers get predictions for totals and strategies for how to best profit from them. Totals projections cannot be found in the free content. Comprehensive advice on totals is rare - look around and see how few of our competitors offer totals on every game. (Note: For the 2011/12 season, the projections for all college basketball totals are going to a single client who paid big for them. I will still supply the best bets on CBB totals to all customers, but not the raw projections. For all other leagues, everyone gets everything.)
C) The Entropy ratings and predictions are updated promptly. While most sites take until the next morning or later to update, Entropy's new numbers are usually posted within minutes of the last result of the night. Subscriber content is updated earlier than the public predictions.
D) Entropy's accuracy has been documented by other sites. To name a few:
Todd Beck's Prediction Tracker
The CFPOOL
sports-bettors.com
The Prediction Tracker site has documented:
During the 2008/09 season, sports-bettors.com showed Entropy to be the most profitable system on NFL selections from early October through the Superbowl.
In the CFPOOL, hundreds of participants pick the winners of 18 games each week. Picks are given weights by confidence, making the contest an excellent competitive benchmark for a computer system. Entropy took first place Week 3 of 2007 and Week 11 of 2008. The site maintains records for each week going back several years. It does not appear any other system has won two weeks.
Note that winning this type of pool for a given week is incredibly difficult for a system. Improbable upsets are common, and systems won't pick big underdogs to win straight-up. Thus, it is more common for non-system contestants to get weekly wins when they happen to nail a couple of big upsets. Luck will not carry anyone over the long run, though, so systems do better in the cumulative season results. Pulling off a CFPOOL weekly win is extremely difficult. (Try it and see!)
In 2010/11, Entropy finished 3rd among 279 participants in the CFPOOL, and was the top-ranked computer system.
In 2009/10, Entropy finished 5th among 278 participants in the CFPOOL, and was the top-ranked computer system.
E) At least two independent pundits have chosen to include the Entropy ratings in their polls:
F) I do not aspire to become huge. The big players in sports handicapping can actually affect the point spreads. I don't want to have that kind of influence. I simply have an enthusiasm for prediction, and a desire to share it. You will never find me touting "locks" in radio or TV ads. I want to remain relatively obscure, and this is good for clients, as you should not want large numbers of people on your side in betting.
G) Full coverage of IAA/FCS college football. I am not yet making a lot of plays on IAA games, but if you are interested, the game data files are a must see. I don't think you'll find this kind of help on IAA capping anywhere else.
H) Look at the price! Consider it a small tuition payment to enter Sports Wagering 101.
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